Prediction of coronary artery bypass graft outcomes using a single surgical note: An artificial intelligence-based prediction model study.

BACKGROUND: Healthcare providers currently calculate risk of the composite outcome of morbidity or mortality associated with a coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) surgery through manual input of variables into a logistic regression-based risk calculator. This study indicates that automated artificial intelligence (AI)-based techniques can instead calculate risk. Specifically, we present novel numerical embedding techniques that enable NLP (natural language processing) models to achieve higher performance than the risk calculator using a single preoperative surgical note. METHODS: The most recent preoperative surgical consult notes of 1,738 patients who received an isolated CABG from July 1, 2014 to November 1, 2022 at a single institution were analyzed. The primary outcome was the Society of Thoracic Surgeons defined composite outcome of morbidity or mortality (MM). We tested three numerical-embedding techniques on the widely used TextCNN classification model: 1a) Basic embedding, treat numbers as word tokens; 1b) Basic embedding with a dataloader that Replaces out-of-context (ROOC) numbers with a tag, where context is defined as within a number of tokens of specified keywords; 2) ScaleNum, an embedding technique that scales in-context numbers via a learned sigmoid-linear-log function; and 3) AttnToNum, a ScaleNum-derivative that updates the ScaleNum embeddings via multi-headed attention applied to local context. Predictive performance was measured via area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) on holdout sets from 10 random-split experiments. For eXplainable-AI (X-AI), we calculate SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) values at an ngram resolution (SHAP-N). While the analyses focus on TextCNN, we execute an analogous performance pipeline with a long short-term memory (LSTM) model to test if the numerical embedding advantage is robust to model architecture. RESULTS: A total of 567 (32.6%) patients had MM following CABG. The embedding performances are as follows with the TextCNN architecture: 1a) Basic, mean AUC 0.788 [95% CI (confidence interval): 0.768-0.809]; 1b) ROOC, 0.801 [CI: 0.788-0.815]; 2) ScaleNum, 0.808 [CI: 0.785-0.821]; and 3) AttnToNum, 0.821 [CI: 0.806-0.834]. The LSTM architecture produced a similar trend. Permutation tests indicate that AttnToNum outperforms the other embedding techniques, though not statistically significant verse ScaleNum (p-value of .07). SHAP-N analyses indicate that the model learns to associate low blood urine nitrate (BUN) and creatinine values with survival. A correlation analysis of the attention-updated numerical embeddings indicates that AttnToNum learns to incorporate both number magnitude and local context to derive semantic similarities. CONCLUSION: This research presents both quantitative and clinical novel contributions. Quantitatively, we contribute two new embedding techniques: AttnToNum and ScaleNum. Both can embed strictly positive and bounded numerical values, and both surpass basic embeddings in predictive performance. The results suggest AttnToNum outperforms ScaleNum. With regards to clinical research, we show that AI methods can predict outcomes after CABG using a single preoperative note at a performance that matches or surpasses the current risk calculator. These findings reveal the potential role of NLP in automated registry reporting and quality improvement.

Changes in heart transplant outcomes of elderly patients in the new allocation era.

OBJECTIVE: Studies demonstrate that heart transplantation can be performed safely in septuagenarians. We evaluate the outcomes of septuagenarians undergoing heart transplantation after the US heart allocation change in 2018. METHODS: The United Network for Organ Sharing registry was used to identify heart transplant recipients aged 70 years or more between 2010 and 2021. Primary outcomes were 90-day and 1-year mortality. Kaplan-Meier, multivariable Cox proportional hazards, and accelerated failure time models were used for unadjusted and risk-adjusted analyses. RESULTS: A total of 27,403 patients underwent heart transplantation, with 1059 (3.9%) aged 70 years or more. Patients aged 70 years or more increased from 3.7% before 2018 to 4.5% after 2018 (P = .003). Patients aged 70 years or more before 2018 had comparable 90-day and 1-year survivals relative to patients aged less than 70 years (90 days: 93.8% vs 94.2%, log-rank P = .650; 1 year: 89.4% vs 91.1%, log-rank P = .130). After 2018, septuagenarians had lower 90-day and 1-year survivals (90 days: 91.4% vs 95.0%, log-rank P = .021; 1 year: 86.5% vs 90.9%, log-rank P = .018). Risk-adjusted analysis showed comparable 90-day mortality (hazard ratio, 1.29; 0.94-1.76, P = .110) but worse 1-year mortality (hazard ratio, 1.32; 1.03-1.68, P = .028) before policy change. After policy change, both 90-day and 1-year mortalities were higher (90 days: HR, 1.99; 1.23-3.22, P = .005; 1 year: hazard ratio, 1.71; 1.14-2.56, P = .010). An accelerated failure time model showed comparable 90-day (0.42; 0.16-1.44; P = .088) and 1-year (0.48; 0.18-1.26; P = .133) survival postallocation change. CONCLUSIONS: Septuagenarians comprise a greater proportion of heart transplant recipients after the allocation change, and their post-transplant outcomes relative to younger recipients have worsened.

Heart Transplantation for Adults With Congenital Heart Disease Can Be Performed at Adult or Pediatric Hospitals With Comparable Outcomes.

INTRODUCTION: The goal of this study was to evaluate the relationship between hospital-related factors and hospital type on outcomes of heart transplantation for patients with adult congenital heart disease (ACHD). METHODS: Patients with ACHD who underwent heart transplant between 2010 and 2021 were identified using the United Network for Organ Sharing data registry. The primary outcome was post-transplant mortality. Kaplan-Meier unadjusted survival curves were compared using the log-rank test. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used for risk-adjustment in evaluating the independent effect of hospital type on post-transplant mortality. RESULTS: Of 70 centers, 54 (77.1%) adult centers performed 415 (87.0%) heart transplants and 16 (22.9%) pediatric centers performed 62 (13.0%) heart transplants. Patients transplanted at pediatric centers were younger, had lower creatinine levels, and had lower body mass index. The unadjusted 1-y and 5-y survival was comparable in pediatric versus adult centers, respectively: 93.4% versus 86.6% (log-rank P = 0.16) and 87.4% versus 73.9% (log-rank P = 0.06). These findings persisted after risk-adjustment. One-year mortality hazard ratio for pediatric hospitals: 0.64 (0.22-1.89, P = 0.416) and 5-y mortality hazard ratio for pediatric hospitals: 0.53 (0.21-1.33, P = 0.175). Rates of acute rejection, postoperative stroke, and new-onset postoperative dialysis were also comparable. CONCLUSIONS: Heart transplantation for patients with ACHD can be performed safely in adult centers. The majority of heart transplant for ACHD in the United States are performed at adult hospitals. However, further research is needed to delineate the impact of individual surgeon characteristics and hospital-related factors on outcomes.

Patient Characteristics and Early Clinical Outcomes With Impella 5.5: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Data regarding outcomes with Impella 5.5 are limited. The aim of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to summarize patient and treatment characteristics and early clinical outcomes among patients supported by Impella 5.5. A systematic literature search was conducted in PubMed, Scopus, and Cochrane databases from September 2019 to March 2023. Studies reporting outcomes in greater than or equal to 5 patients were included for review. Patient characteristics, treatment characteristics, and early clinical outcomes were extracted. Outcomes included adverse events, survival to hospital discharge, and 30 day survival. Random-effect models were used to estimate pooled effects for survival outcomes. Assessment for bias was performed using funnel plots and Egger's tests. Fifteen studies were included for qualitative review, representing 707 patients. Mean duration of support was 9.9 ± 8.2 days. On meta-analysis of 13 studies reporting survival outcomes, survival to hospital discharge was 68% (95% confidence interval [CI], 58-78%), and 30 day survival was 65% (95% CI, 56-74%) among patients with Impella devices predominantly supported by Impella 5.5 (>60%). There was significant study heterogeneity for these outcomes. Among 294 patients with Impella 5.5 only, survival to discharge was 78% (95% CI, 72-82%) with no significant study heterogeneity. This data present early benchmarks for outcomes with Impella 5.5 as clinical experience with these devices accrues.

Waitlist and transplant outcomes in heart transplant candidates bridged with temporary endovascular right ventricular assist devices.

BACKGROUND: Advances in mechanical circulatory support and changes in allocation policy have shifted waitlisting practices for heart transplantation (HT) in the United States. This analysis reports waitlist and transplant outcomes among HT candidates bridged with temporary endovascular right ventricular assist devices (tRVADs). METHODS: Patients awaiting HT from 2008 to 2022 in the United Network of Organ Sharing registry were grouped by the presence of tRVAD while waitlisted and propensity matched. Waitlist outcomes were HT and a competing outcome of death/deterioration requiring waitlist inactivation. Competing-risks regression was used to model waitlist outcomes. Subanalyses were performed to compare waitlist outcomes among patients with durable and temporary left ventricular assist devices (LVADs) with and without concomitant tRVADs. One-year posttransplant mortality was estimated using Kaplan-Meier analysis. RESULTS: Of 41,507 HT candidates, 133 (0.3%) had tRVADs. After propensity matching, patients with tRVAD had a similar likelihood of HT and an elevated hazard for death/deterioration (hazard ratio 2.2, 95% confidence interval 1.4-3.2, p < 0.001) compared to those without tRVAD. Most patients with tRVAD (84%) had concomitant LVADs. tRVAD was associated with an elevated risk for deterioration/death among those with temporary LVADs but not durable LVADs. For patients undergoing HT, tRVAD was associated with an increased risk for 1-year mortality compared to propensity-matched recipients. CONCLUSIONS: Bridging with tRVAD is uncommon and primarily used in patients requiring biventricular support. tRVADs are associated with waitlist inactivation or death, particularly with concomitant temporary LVAD support. As temporary devices are increasingly used as a bridge to HT, outcomes of patients with tRVADs should inform future allocation policy, particularly for candidates with biventricular failure.

Donor utilization in heart transplant with donation after circulatory death in the United States.

Heart transplantation using donation after circulatory death (DCD) was recently adopted in the United States. This study aimed to characterize organ yield from adult (≥18 years) DCD heart donors in the United States using the United Network for Organ Sharing registry. The registry does not identify potential donors who do not progress to circulatory death, and only those who progressed to death were included for analysis. Outcomes included organ recovery from the donor operating room and organ utilization for transplant. Multiple logistic regression was used to identify predictors of heart recovery and utilization. Among 558 DCD procurements, recovery occurred in 89.6%, and 92.5% of recovered hearts were utilized for transplant. Of 506 DCD procurements with available data, 65.0% were classified as direct procurement and perfusion and 35.0% were classified as normothermic regional perfusion (NRP). Logistic regression identified that NRP, shorter agonal time, younger donor age, and highest volume of organ procurement organizations were independently associated with increased odds for heart recovery. NRP independently predicted heart utilization after recovery. DCD heart utilization in the United States is satisfactory and consistent with international experience. NRP procurements have a higher yield for DCD heart transplantation compared with direct procurement and perfusion, which may reflect differences in donor assessment and acceptance criteria.

Risk Factors for 1-Year Mortality After Heart Transplant in Obese Patients Bridged With an LVAD.

BACKGROUND: Heart transplantation is relatively contraindicated in morbidly obese patients because of increased morbidity and mortality. This study identified risk factors for post-heart transplantation mortality in obese patients with a left ventricular assist device (LVAD). METHODS: The United Network for Organ Sharing database was used to identify patients with a body mass index ≥35 kg/m2 who had a durable LVAD at the time of isolated heart transplantation between 2010 and 2021. The primary outcome was post-heart transplantation 1-year mortality. Multivariable Cox regression modeling was used to identify significant risk factors for 1-year mortality. Receiver-operating characteristic analyses were performed to identify optimal thresholds for continuous variables associated with the primary outcome. Patients were stratified by the number of risk factors, and Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to compare survival. RESULTS: A total of 1222 obese patients were bridged to heart transplantation with a durable LVAD. Six risk factors were identified as significantly associated with 1-year post-heart transplantation mortality: recipient age >62.5 years, body mass index >36.6 kg/m2, bilirubin level >0.95 mg/dL, cold ischemic time >3.7 hours, recipient-donor sex mismatch, and pretransplantation mechanical ventilation. The distribution of cumulative risk factors was as follows: 8.6% with 0, 30.6% with 1, 37.0% with 2, and 23.8% patients with ≥3 risk factors. The 1-year survival rate decreased significantly from 96.0% in those patients with 0 risk factors to 77.6% in those with 3 or more risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: These data provide a useful guide for risk stratification and patient selection in obese LVAD candidates being considered for heart transplantation.

Trends and Outcomes of Combined Heart-Kidney and Heart-Lung Transplantation Over the Past Two Decades.

INTRODUCTION: Combined heart-kidney transplantation (HKTx) and combined heart-lung transplantation (HLTx) remain the definitive therapy for patients with end-stage heart failure with concomitant end-stage renal or lung failure. We sought to study trends and outcomes of HKTx and HLTx over the last two decades. METHODS: The United Network for Organ Sharing registry was used to identify all adult patients (aged >18 y) who underwent HKTx and HLTx between 2001 and 2021. Patients were divided into 5-y groups by the year of transplantation (2001-2006, 2007-2011, 2012-2016, and 2017-2021). Primary outcome was 1-y posttransplantation mortality. Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used for unadjusted and risk-adjusted survival analyses, respectively. RESULTS: A total of 2301 HKTx and 567 HLTx patients were included. Between 2001 and 2021, HKTx volume increased from 25 to 344 patients (P < 0.001) and centers performing HKTx increased from 19 to 76 (P < 0.001). On unadjusted analysis, 1-y survival after HKTx improved from 86.7% in 2001-2006 to 89.0% in 2017-2021 (log-rank, P = 0.005). On risk-adjusted analysis, the hazard ratio of 1-y mortality for 2017-2021 was 0.62 (0.39-1.00, P = 0.048) compared with that for 2001-2006. Between 2001 and 2021, HLTx volume increased from 21 to 43 patients (P < 0.001) and centers performing HLTx increased from 12 to 20 (P = 0.047). On unadjusted analysis, 1-y survival after HLTx improved from 68.9% in 2001-2006 to 83.9% in 2017-2021 (log-rank, P = 0.600). On risk-adjusted analysis, the hazard ratio of 1-y mortality for 2017-2021 was 0.37 (0.21-0.67, P = 0.001) compared with that for 2001-2006. CONCLUSIONS: Over the last two decades, HKTx volume substantially increased and HLTx experienced resurgent growth. One-year survival persistently improved for both procedures, especially over the past 5 y.

Outcomes of Combined Heart-Kidney Transplantation in Older Recipients.

Objectives: The upper limit of recipient age for combined heart-kidney transplantation (HKT) remains controversial. This study evaluated the outcomes of HKT in patients aged ≥65 years. Methods: The United Network of Organ Sharing (UNOS) was used to identify patients undergoing HKT from 2005 to 2021. Patients were stratified by age at transplantation: <65 and ≥ 65 years. The primary outcome was one-year mortality. Secondary outcomes included 90-day and 5-year mortality, postoperative new-onset dialysis, postoperative stroke, acute rejection prior to discharge, and rejection within one-year of HKT. Survival was compared using Kaplan-Meier analysis, and risk adjustment for mortality was performed using Cox proportional hazards modeling. Results: HKT in recipients aged ≥65 significantly increased from 5.6% of all recipients in 2005 to 23.7% in 2021 (p=0.002). Of 2,022 HKT patients in the study period, 372 (18.40%) were aged ≥65. Older recipients were more likely to be male and white, and fewer required dialysis prior to HKT. There were no differences between cohorts in unadjusted 90-day, 1-year, or 5-year survival in Kaplan-Meier analysis. These findings persisted after risk-adjustment, with an adjusted hazard for one-year mortality for age ≥65 of 0.91 (95% CI (0.63-1.29), p=0.572). As a continuous variable, increasing age was not associated with one-year mortality (HR 1.01 (95% CI (1.00-1.02), p=0.236) per year). Patients aged ≥65 more frequently required new-onset dialysis prior to discharge (11.56% vs. 7.82%, p=0.051). Stroke and rejection rates were comparable. Conclusion: Combined HKT is increasing in older recipients, and advanced age ≥65 should not preclude HKT.

Prognostic significance of time trends in treatment of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.

PURPOSE: To analyze the impact of demographic, clinical, and management variables on time to treatment initiation (TTI) and overall survival (OS). STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective chart review. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Medical records of patients diagnosed with head and neck cancer from 2018 to 2020 were reviewed. Univariate linear and Cox-regressions identified predictors of TTI and OS. Kaplan Meier (KM) curves assessed the difference in survival by diagnostic year and TTI. RESULTS: 381 patients met eligibility criteria. Median TTI was 35.0 days (IQR: 25.0-49.0). Only 10.8 % of all patients reported any treatment delay, with TTI exceeding 90 days found in 3.7 % of patients. TTI increased with African American race (p = 0.02), ED referrals (p = 0.02), and direct admission status (p = 0.01). When compared to treatment with surgery alone, TTI was shorter in patients undergoing surgery with adjuvant radiation (p = 0.02), adjuvant chemoradiation (p = 0.04), and salvage surgery (p = 0.04). Univariate Cox-regressions found smoking (p = 0.01), direct admission status (p = 0.02), increased duration of symptoms (p = 0.02), placement of PEG tubes (p < 0.01) and tracheostomies (p < 0.01), combination treatment (p < 0.01), and surgery with adjuvant chemoradiation treatment (p = 0.01) to increase mortality risk. Disease characteristics, including tumor size (p < 0.01), presence of nodal disease (p = 0.02), and late-stage disease (p < 0.01), increased mortality risk. TTI and diagnostic year did not impact survival. CONCLUSIONS: Our analysis determined several demographic, referral, and treatment factors impacted TTI. However, increased TTI did not impact survival. Characteristics consistent with advanced disease worsened OS. Despite the pandemic burden, patients diagnosed in 2020 showed no difference in short-term survival compared to prior years.

Waitlist and Transplant Outcomes in Organ Donation After Circulatory Death: Trends in the United States.

OBJECTIVES: To summarize waitlist and transplant outcomes in kidney, liver, lung, and heart transplantation using organ donation after circulatory death (DCD). BACKGROUND: DCD has expanded the donor pool for solid organ transplantation, most recently for heart transplantation. METHODS: The United Network for Organ Sharing registry was used to identify adult transplant candidates and recipients in the most recent allocation policy eras for kidney, liver, lung, and heart transplantation. Transplant candidates and recipients were grouped by acceptance criteria for DCD versus brain-dead donors [donation after brain death (DBD)] only and DCD versus DBD transplant, respectively. Propensity matching and competing-risks regression was used to model waitlist outcomes. Survival was modeled using propensity matching and Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression analysis. RESULTS: DCD transplant volumes have increased significantly across all organs. Liver candidates listed for DCD organs were more likely to undergo transplantation compared with propensity-matched candidates listed for DBD only, and heart and liver transplant candidates listed for DCD were less likely to experience death or clinical deterioration requiring waitlist inactivation. Propensity-matched DCD recipients demonstrated an increased mortality risk up to 5 years after liver and kidney transplantation and up to 3 years after lung transplantation compared with DBD. There was no difference in 1-year mortality between DCD and DBD heart transplantation. CONCLUSIONS: DCD continues to expand access to transplantation and improves waitlist outcomes for liver and heart transplant candidates. Despite an increased risk for mortality with DCD kidney, liver, and lung transplantation, survival with DCD transplant remains acceptable.

Outcomes of Over 1000 Heart Transplants Using Hepatitis C-Positive Donors in the Modern Era.

BACKGROUND: Advances in hepatitis C virus (HCV) treatment and the ongoing opioid epidemic have made HCV-positive donors increasingly available for heart transplantation (HT). This analysis reports outcomes of over 1000 HCV-positive HTs in the United States in the modern era. METHODS: The United Network of Organ Sharing registry was used to identify HTs between 2015 and 2021. Recipients were grouped by donor HCV status and by nucleic acid amplification test (NAT) positivity. The primary outcome was 1-year mortality, and secondary outcomes included 3-year mortality. A subanalysis compared HCV-positive HT outcomes between NAT-positive and NAT-negative donors. Risk adjustment was performed using Cox regression. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to estimate survival. RESULTS: The frequency of HCV-positive HT increased from 0.12% of HTs in 2015 to 12.9% in 2021 (P < .001). Of 16,648 HTs, 1170 (7.0%) used an organ from an HCV-positive donor. Recipients of HCV-positive organs were more likely to be HCV seropositive, older, and White. Unadjusted 1- and 3-year survival rates were not significantly different between recipients of HCV-negative and HCV-positive organs. After risk adjustment HCV-positive donor status was not associated with an elevated risk for 1-year (hazard ratio, 0.92; 95% CI, 0.71-1.19; P = .518) or 3-year mortality. Among HCV-positive HTs 772 (61.7%) were NAT positive. After risk adjustment NAT positivity did not impact 1-year mortality. CONCLUSIONS: The proportion of HCV-positive HTs has increased over 100-fold in recent years. This analysis of the US experience demonstrates that recipients of HCV-positive hearts, including those that are NAT positive, have acceptable outcomes with similar early to midterm survival as recipients of HCV-negative organs.

Waitlist and transplant outcomes for patients bridged to heart transplantation with Impella 5.0 and 5.5 devices.

BACKGROUND: Impella devices are increasingly utilized as a bridge to heart transplantation (BTT) and are now prioritized as Status 2 under the current heart allocation policy. This study evaluated waitlist and post-transplant outcomes of patients supported with Impella 5.0/5.5 devices. METHODS: The United Network of Organ Sharing registry was used to identify adults waitlisted or transplanted with Impella 5.0 or 5.5 devices from 2010 to 2021. Separate analyses were performed for waitlist and transplantation outcomes for patients supported by Impella 5.0/5.5 devices. Competing outcomes for the waitlist analysis included rates of transplantation, recovery, and death or clinical deterioration. Among patients undergoing transplantation, the primary outcome was 1-year survival. Secondary outcomes included rates of rejection, new postoperative dialysis, stroke, and pacemaker implantation after transplantation. RESULTS: There were 344 patients waitlisted and 394 patients transplanted with an Impella 5.0 (n = 212 and 251) or 5.5 (n = 132 and 143) device. Competing risk regression demonstrated similar likelihood of transplant (subhazard ratio [SHR], 1.33 (0.98-1.81, p = 0.067)) and similar likelihood of death or clinical deterioration (SHR, 0.67 [0.27-1.69, p = 0.400]) for Impella 5.5 patients. In the transplanted cohort, unadjusted 1-year post-transplant survival was comparable at 91.3% versus 94.6% (log-rank p = 0.661) for patients supported by Impella 5.0 or 5.5 device, respectively, a finding that persisted after risk-adjustment (HR 1.22, p = 0.699). Post-transplant complication rates were also comparable between 5.0 and 5.5 patients. CONCLUSIONS: Impella devices can be used as a BTT with excellent survival and minimal post-transplant morbidity. Outcomes were comparable for Impella 5.0 and 5.5 devices.

Early Outcomes of Heart Transplantation Using Donation After Circulatory Death Donors in the United States.

BACKGROUND: Limited donor availability and evolution in procurement techniques have renewed interest in heart transplantation (HT) with donation after circulatory death (DCD). The aim of this study is to evaluate outcomes of HT using DCD in the United States. METHODS: The United Network for Organ Sharing registry was used to identify adult HT recipients from 2019 to 2021. Recipients were stratified between DCD and donation after brain death. Propensity-score matching was performed. Cox proportional hazards was used to identify independent predictors of 1-year mortality. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to estimate 1-year survival. RESULTS: Of 7496 HTs, 229 DCD and 7267 donation after brain death recipients were analyzed. The frequency of DCD HT increased from 0.2% of all HT in 2019 to 6.4% in 2021 (P<0.001), and the number of centers performing DCD HT increased from 3 of 120 centers to 20 of 121 centers (P<0.001). DCD donors were more likely to be younger, male, and White. After propensity matching, 1-year survival was 92.5% for DCD versus 90.3% for donation after brain death (hazard ratio, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.44-1.43]; P=0.44). Among DCD HTs, increasing recipient age and waitlist time predicted 1-year mortality on univariable analysis. CONCLUSIONS: Rates of DCD HT in the United States are increasing. This practice appears safe and feasible as mortality outcomes are comparable to donation after brain death. Although this study represents early adopting centers, outcomes of the experience for DCD HT in the United States is consistent with existing international data and encourages broader utilization of this practice.

Risk of recipient age on 1-year mortality after simultaneous heart-lung transplantation.

BACKGROUND: Heart-lung transplantation (HLTx) is relatively uncommon, and there is a paucity of literature to suggest an age at which older recipients may be exposed to excess risk for mortality. This analysis aimed to identify a threshold of age that predicts adverse outcomes after HLTx. METHODS: The United Network of Organ Sharing registry was used to identify adult patients undergoing HLTx from 2005 to 2021. The primary outcome was 1-year mortality. Threshold regression was used to identify the threshold at which age impacts 1-year mortality. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to model survival, and Cox proportional hazards modeling was used for risk-adjustment. RESULTS: We identified 453 patients undergoing HLTx. Threshold analysis identified that the risk for 1-year mortality was significantly elevated beyond an age of 58 years, and 47 (10.38%) patients were older than this threshold. On Kaplan-Meier analysis, 1-year survival was significantly lower in patients > 58 years compared to younger recipients (64.7% vs. 82.0%, p = .007). After risk adjustment, the hazard ratio for 1-year mortality in recipients older than 58 years was 2.27 (95% confidence interval [1.21-4.28], p = .011). CONCLUSION: A threshold for recipient age of 58 years of age may avoid excess 1-year mortality after HLTx. However, patients older than this threshold demonstrate acceptable early and midterm survival, and the majority survive to 1 year. Advanced age should be considered in patient selection for HLTx, but may not be a contraindication for candidacy particularly in the absence of other risk factors.

Nine-Year Experience With the Arterial Switch Operation With Closed Coronary Transfer.

BACKGROUND: Coronary artery transfer is a critical step of the arterial switch operation (ASO) for transposition of the great arteries (TGA). Strategies for coronary transfer include open transfer before neoaortic anastomosis and closed transfer after neoaortic anastomosis. This study reports outcomes of ASO with closed coronary transfer at a single institution. METHODS: A retrospective analysis was performed of patients undergoing ASO for TGA from November 2006 to September 2015. Closed coronary transfer was universally employed. Patients were assigned to simple vs complex coronary anatomy groups. The primary outcome was overall survival. Secondary outcomes included reoperation-free survival, coronary reintervention, and aortic insufficiency. RESULTS: Ninety-six consecutive patients underwent ASO for TGA. Median follow-up was 5.8 years. Thirty-five (36%) patients had complex coronary anatomy, which was associated with significantly longer cardiopulmonary bypass and aortic cross-clamp time. Overall survival was 97.4%, and reoperation-free survival was 83.6%. There was no difference in survival or reoperation-free survival of patients with simple vs complex coronary anatomy. Hispanic ethnicity, side-by-side great arteries, and urgent or emergent operation were significantly associated with the composite outcome of reoperation or mortality. There were no coronary interventions after ASO, and the incidence of moderate or greater aortic insufficiency was 2.1% at hospital discharge and 1.5% in follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Closed coronary transfer during ASO has excellent short-term and midterm results. Despite variable and often complex coronary anatomy, coronary ischemic events after ASO are avoidable. Closed coronary transfer has a low risk of aortic valve injury or insufficiency.

Aortic Valve Replacement in Bioprosthetic Failure: Insights From The Society of Thoracic Surgeons National Database.

BACKGROUND: This study was conducted to determine the current nationwide trends and outcomes of reoperative surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) performed for a degenerated bioprosthesis. METHODS: Data from The Society of Thoracic Surgeons (STS) Adult Cardiac Surgery Database were used. All patients who underwent isolated reoperative SAVR for a degenerated aortic bioprosthesis between January 2012 and December 2016 were included. Patients who had other concomitant cardiac surgery procedures or active endocarditis were excluded. Changes during this period were tracked with trend analyses. RESULTS: The number of patients undergoing SAVR for bioprosthetic failure increased substantially between 2012 and 2014 (782 in 2012 to 844 in 2013 and to 900 in 2014; relative change, +7.25%); this trend reversed significantly between 2015 and 2016 (decreased to 873 in 2015 and to 840 in 2016; relative change, -3.4%; P = .005). Patients were older in 2012-2014 (65.80 ± 13.52 years) compared with 2015-2016 (64.45 ± 12.91 years; P = .001). Mean STS-predicted mortality risk score decreased from 4.55% in 2012-2014 to 4.25% in 2015-2016 (P = .001). There was no difference in postoperative stroke (1.80% vs 1.80%, P = .87), renal failure requiring dialysis (2.7% vs 2.8%, P = .69), or operative mortality (3.5% vs 4.0%, P = .36) after reoperative SAVR in 2012-2014 and 2015-2016, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The number of patients undergoing SAVR for a degenerated bioprosthesis is decreasing in the United States, particularly among older and high-risk patients. These trends may reflect the adoption of valve-in-valve transcatheter aortic valve replacement for a degenerated bioprosthesis after its United States Food and Drug Administration approval in 2015.

Pacing for drug-refractory or drug-intolerant hypertrophic cardiomyopathy.

BACKGROUND: Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is a genetic disease with an autosomal-dominant inheritance for which negative inotropes are the most widely used initial therapies. Observational studies and small randomised trials have suggested symptomatic and functional benefits using pacing and several theories have been put forward to explain why. Pacing, although not the primary treatment for HCM, could be beneficial to patients with relative or absolute contraindications to surgery or alcohol ablation. Several randomised controlled trials comparing pacing to other therapeutic modalities have been conducted but no Cochrane-style systematic review has been done. OBJECTIVES: To assess the effects of pacing in drug-refractory or drug-intolerant hypertrophic cardiomyopathy patients. SEARCH METHODS: We searched the following on the 14/4/2010: CENTRAL (The Cochrane Library 2010, Issue 1), MEDLINE OVID (from 1950 onwards ), EMBASE OVID (from 1980 onwards ), Web of Science with Conference Proceedings (from 1970 onwards). No language restrictions were applied. SELECTION CRITERIA: Randomised controlled trials of either parallel or crossover design that assess the beneficial and harmful effects of pacing for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy were included. When crossover studies were identified, we considered data only from the first phase. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Data from included studies were extracted onto a pre-formed data extraction paper by two authors independently. Data was then entered into Review Manager 5.1 for analysis. Risk of bias was assessed using the guidance provided in the Cochrane Handbook. For dichotomous data, relative risk was calculated; and for continuous data, the mean differences were calculated. Where appropriate data were available, meta-analysis was performed. Where meta-analysis was not possible, a narrative synthesis was written. A QUROUM flow chart was provided to show the flow of papers. MAIN RESULTS: Five studies (reported in 10 papers) were identified. However, three of the five studies provided un-usable data. Thus the data from only two studies (reported in seven papers) with 105 participants were included for this review. There was insufficient data to compare results on all-cause mortality, cost effectiveness, exercise capacity, Quality of life and Peak O2 consumption.When comparing active pacing versus placebo pacing on exercise capacity, one study showed that exercise time decreased from (13.1 ± 4.4) minutes to (12.6 ± 4.3) minutes in the placebo group and increased from (12.1 ± 5.6) minutes to (12.9 ± 4.2) minutes in the treatment group (MD 0.30; 95% CI -1.54 to 2.14). Statistically significant data from the same study showed that left ventricular outflow tract obstruction decreased from (71 ± 32) mm Hg to (52 ± 34) mm Hg in the placebo group and from (70 ± 24) mm Hg to (33 ± 27) mm Hg in the active pacing group (MD -19.00; 95% CI -32.29 to -5.71). This study was also able to show that New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class decreased from (2.5 ± 0.5) to (2.2 ± 0.6) in the inactive pacing group and decreased from (2.6 ± 0.5) to (1.7 ± 0.7) in the placebo group (MD -0.50; 95% CI -0.78 to -0.22).When comparing active pacing versus trancoronary ablation of septal hypertrophy (TASH), data from one study showed that NYHA functional class decreased from (3.2 ± 0.7) to (1.5 ± 0.5) in the TASH group and decreased from (3.0 ± 0.1) to (1.9 ± 0.6) in the pacemaker group. This study also showed that LV wall thickness remained unchanged in the active pacing group compared to reduction from (22 ± 4) mm to (17 ± 3) mm in the TASH group (MD 0.60; 95% CI -5.65 to 6.85) and that LV outflow tract obstruction decreased from (80 ± 35.5) mm Hg in the TASH group to (49.3 ± 37.7) mm Hg in the pacemaker group. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Trials published to date lack information on clinically relevant end-points. Existing data is derived from small trials at high risk of bias, which concentrate on physiological measures. Their results are inconclusive. Further large and high quality trials with more appropriate outcomes are warranted.